A duel for third place?
Saturday at 9 p.m., Les Pumas welcome the Wallabies to the Estadio Malvina Argentinas during the first day of the Rugby Championship. The opportunity for the two teams in the midst of a reshuffle to consolidate their group just over a year before the biggest deadline. This clash is all the more important as these two teams could face each other in the quarter-finals of the World Cup.
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Argentina: topicality and form
The Argentinians scared themselves this summer. Trailing in their third game against Scotland, the Pumas managed to turn the game around to win the series. A victory that does them good, indeed, in recent years, Argentina has not been as dangerous as it has been in the past. With the exception of a few highlights (including a victory against the All Blacks in 2020), Argentina’s performances have remained mostly disappointing.
The Pumas’ objective will be to escape last place in the competition, which they have only managed to do twice in their history. For this objective, the reception of the Wallabies, their direct competitors in third place, is a major opportunity. In addition, their coach Michael Cheika knows the Wallabies particularly well, having led them from 2014 to 2019. This past with the Australians will give him keys to reading, he who is not known for his detailed analyzes of opponents. The Argentinians will also rely on their roughness on the ground to slow down the Australian balls. However, it will be necessary to compose without Guido Petti, whose versatility is essential to the Argentine game. The opener Nicolas Sanchez is also unavailable. Considering the importance of this match for the Pumas, expect a huge physical challenge from them.
Australia: topicality and form
The Wallabies are in a strange position. In reconstruction since the debacle of 2019 (eliminated in the quarter-finals by England), Australia has managed to find an effective attack, with an attractive style of play. Nevertheless, just like their opponents of the day, the Australians cannot find consistency in their results, with the exception of a fine series of five victories last autumn. Since then, Dave Rennie’s men have only won one game.
Thus, two games against the Pumas, followed by two receptions of South Africa and one of the All Blacks, are an opportunity to reconnect with success. In addition, a fourth place would only destroy the Australian dynamic a little more, but above all would endanger coach Dave Rennie and, with him, the project that has been building since 2020. In the same way, beating the Springboks or the New Zealand could revive this dynamic. The Wallabies will therefore rely on their offensive talent to tear the Argentine curtain. Finally, the Rugby Championship is an opportunity to finally find a typical XV while Australia has been experimenting with all possible combinations for 2 years.
Argentina – Australia: stats and key points
- In the last five meetings between these two teams, Argentina have never beaten Australia despite two draws.
- Since 2020, the Wallabies have won 3 away times (out of 11 trips).
- Since 2020, the Pumas have played only three times at home (against Scotland). They have two home wins.
- This summer, Argentina have used footwork only 6% of the time (the average is 10%).
- This summer, the Australians have beaten 26 defenders per game (the average is 17).
|Chaparro – Montoya (c) – Kodela||1st line||Slipper – Fainga’a – Allalatoa|
|Samso–Matera–Kremer||3rd line||Holloway–Valetini–Hooper (c)|
|De La Fuente–Orlando||Centers||Paisami–Ikitau|
|Boffelli–Cordero||Wingers||Koroibete – Petaia|
Dave Rennie’s men know only too well the challenge of this meeting to be overthrown by the Pumas. Moreover, Argentina did not really convince this summer. The Wallabies should therefore be able to take the advantage in this double confrontation.
- Rating : 1.78
- Bookmaker: Bwin
In front of their public, the Argentinians could surprise an Australia which is already thinking of its next opponents. However, the Wallabies should be able to react and overthrow their opponents, before consolidating their lead. A risky but tempting bet.
- Rating : 5.50
- Bookmaker: Bwin
Argentina v Australia: Best Odds Comparison
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